Michigan, New Mexico and Wisconsin really aren't swing states anymore. And while Missouri doesn't feel like a swing state anymore, it sports a closer margin than most of the other states on this list. In fact, other than Iowa, nothing on this list looks particularly tight at the moment. (And remember, the aggregates would look even worse for the GOP if I omitted Rasmussen's bogus results. Omit the GOP's favorite pollster, and Arizona is suddenly a 2.5-point Romney lead. Missouri is a 45-45 tie.)